Working papers

Here you can search our series of working papers, dating back to 1983. These papers use data from our four cohort studies and cover a wide range of topics, from social inequalities and mobility, to physical health, education and cognitive development. Other papers in the series seek to improve the practice of longitudinal research. At the present time, we are only able to accept papers if at least one author is a member of the CLS research team. Some of the working papers below will subsequently have been published in peer-reviewed journals.

For more information about our working papers series, please email us at clsworkingpapers@ucl.ac.uk.

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Working papers

Combining employment with childcare – an escape from dependence?- CLS working paper 1994/1

Clare Ward,  Angela Dale and Heather Joshi’s research acknowledges that the availability of childcare is an important factor in enabling motherhood to be combined with paid employment. Their findings use evidence from the fifth sweep of the National Child Development Study to analyse the use of childcare by a cohort of employed women who were aged 33 in 1991. There is a heavy reliance on informal care by women in partnerships and also by lone mothers.  Formal care is most heavily used by women whoseyoungestchildisunderfive,especiallyifthewomanworks full-time. Reported costs of child care represent nearly a quarter of net weekly earnings for mothers with  a  child under five. Formal child care is shown to play an important role in facilitating women’s full-time employment.Full-time employment is the route by which women achieve financial independence from their partner.  Italso incrases the likelihood of contributing to an occupational pension which, in turn, has implications for financial independence in later life. However, the majority of women in this cohort do not take the full-time route.  For these women, low earnings potential and part-time working make paid child care uneconomic and reinforces both their role as minor financial contributors within the family.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, young adult, women’s work, childbearing, gender equality, employment.

Author: Clare Ward, Angela Dale and Heather Joshi
Date published: 15 September 1994
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Working papers

Income dependency within couples- CLS working paper 1993/1

Clare Ward, Heather Joshi and Angela Dale challenge the common belief that the generation of women who entered the labour force since the 1970s no longer need social protection as their husbands’ dependants. They show that although improved opportunities have given some women greater economic independence this does not apply in full to all women, and therefore it is important to establish how many women are financially dependent on their partners and the extent of this dependency. This paper sets out to do this for a generation of women leaving school and entering the labour market in the mid-1970s.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, young adult, women’s work, gender equality, employment.

Author: Clare Ward, Heather Joshi and Angela Dale
Date published: 14 May 1993
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Working papers

Intra-family transfers over the lifecycle- CLS working paper 1993/2

Hugh Davies and heather Joshi report on exploratory studies of how three main sources of women’s income vary over the life-cycle in contemporary Britain. Two of these income sources are obvious: the labour market and the state. The third possible source is transactions within the family. If couples pool their incomes, and share the proceeds equally, the partner with the lower one will be compensated by half the original difference between them.  As it is normally wives who earns less from the labour market plus the state, they would normally be the benficiaries of income pooling, but of particular interest here are the earnings wives forego in the process of rearing children.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, young adult, women’s work, childbearing, gender equality, employment.

Author: Hugh Davies and heather Joshi
Date published: 14 May 1993
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Working papers

An integrated approach to the design and analysis of the 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS70) and the National Child Development Study (NCDS)- CLS working paper 1992/1

Carol Ekinsmyth, John Bynner, Scott Montgomery and Peter Shepherd outline the possibilities that an integrated framework for longitudinal design and alnsysis will provide for the research community, now that the 1970 birth cohort (BCS70) is permanently housed at the same research establishment as the 1958 cohort (NCDS).

For instance, this enables the collection of similar data for each study and allows the sharing of methodology and new theory and measurement techniques. It is also possible to investigate whether hypotheses supported by one study are supported by the next. The large size and national representativeness of each cohort also enables regional variation to be assessed. In addition, the existence of studies in other countries of comparable age cohorts, such as the US National Longitudinal Study of Youth, extends the scope of comparative analysis by further adding an international dimension.

The working Paper contains sections summmarising for both birth cohorts the data collection; data preparation and availability; published material and funded research projects.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, BCS70, 1970 birth cohort, survey design, fieldwork methodology, integration.

 

 

Author: Carol Ekinsmyth, John Bynner, Scott Montgomery and Peter Shepherd
Date published: 14 May 1992
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Working papers

Employment after Childbearing in Post-War Britain: Cohort-Study Evidence on Contrasts within and across Generations- CLS working paper 1991/2

Heather Joshi and Andrew Hinde use both 1946 cohort data (2 generations of NSHD) and supplementary information from mothers of the 1958 cohort (NCDS) to describe and explain the post-war trend of mothers returning to the labour-market after diminishing breaks around childbearing.  Class and regional differences diminish over time, both in simple two-way analyses and in multiple (hazard) regression. Women’s education and occupational attainments retain a positive effect on their chances of entering employment over the two generations. The weakening of class differentials is taken to signal a reduction in the income effect of a shifting labour-supply function. Evidence on continuing job downgrading provides a cautionary note on interpreting increased employment as an improvement in female status.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, childhood, young adult, childbearing, employment, maternity break, social class.

Author: Heather Joshi and Andrew Hinde
Date published: 14 August 1991
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Working papers

A review of child health in the 1958 cohort: National Child Development Study- CLS working paper 1991/1

Chris Power uses the NCDS childhood sweeps and age 23 follow-up to look at the results of medical examinations and (at age 23 ) self-reported health.  The child’s family background and socio-economic circumstances were used as predictors and covariates, together with assessments of their social development and educational attainment.  This is the first comprehensive account of health findings from birth to age 23.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, childhood, young adult, health, medical examination, self-reported health, social class.

Author: Chris Power
Date published: 11 March 1991
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Working papers

Family disruption in early life and drinking in young adulthood- CLS working paper 1989/1

Valerie Estaugh and Chris Power examine the relationship between family disruption early in life and subsequent drinking in young adulthood in the NCDS age 23 follow-up. Contrary to popular belief, parental loss was not an antecedent to heavy drinking in young adults. This finding was observed within social class of origin groups and when the nature and timing of the disruption were considered separately.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, childhood, young adult, drinking, alcohol, family break-up, divorce, separation.

Author: Valerie Estaugh and Chris Power
Date published: 11 December 1989
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Working papers

Childhood morbidity and adult ill-health- CLS working paper 1988/6

Chris Power and Catherine Peckham investigate the relationship between the state of health in childhood and ill health in early adult life. DESIGN–The study using NCDS4 data as otcomes and NCDS1 data on childhood health.  A broad measure of health status was constructed form the available age 7 information.  Of the target population of 17,733 births, 12,537 (76%) were retraced and interviewed at 23.  Children at age 7 were allocated to 13 morbidity groups; 20% of children had reported no ill-health apart from the common infectious diseases, but 10% were included in four or more of the morbidity groups. Children with no reported morbidity retained their health advantage into early adulthood: ratios of observed to expected ill health for four of the five indices examined at age 23 were all significantly below one (self rated health 0.81, asthma and/or wheezy bronchitis 0.63, allergies 0.79, emotional health 0.75). Children with more morbidity at age 7 had higher ratios of ill health in adulthood. A chronic condition in childhood was associated not only with excess morbidity in the short term but also with a poor health rating in early adult life (ratio = 1.38). Morbidity was significantly increased for most of the adulthood indices among children with asthma and/or wheezy bronchitis. However most ill health in young adulthood occurred in study members with a relatively healthy childhood. CONCLUSIONS–Although the state of health in childhood has long term implications, it does not form a substantial contribution to ill health in early adult life.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, childhood, young adult, health.

Author: Chris Power and Catherine Peckham
Date published: 19 May 1988
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Working papers

Occupational expectations and outcomes – some implications for vocational guidance and manpower planning- CLS working paper 1988/5

Judith Glover applies two models of occupational choice, one based on developmental theory emphasising individual choice, and the other based on the ‘opportunity structure’ approach, stressing social and structural constraints on occupational selection.  The outcomes show the strength of association between occupational expectations and outcomes is generally weak, supporting the ‘opportunity structure’ theory, except where the availability of jobs is high.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, young adult, choice of career, social class, SES, class mobility, occupation, job availability, unemployment.

Author: Judith Glover
Date published: 18 April 1988
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Working papers

Early adult outcomes of truancy II – the effects of truancy after allowing for other factors- CLS working paper 1988/4

Angelika Hibbett and Ken Fogelman expand on Hibbett’s earlier CLS Working Paper (CLS WP 1987/5) to include other covariates in accounting for the effects of truancy: social class during primary school, rate of school attendance and qualification level.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, young adult, social class, SES, class mobility, school-attendance, truanting.

Author: Angelika Hibbett and Ken Fogelman
Date published: 17 March 1988
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Working papers

A longitudinal study of housing and social circumstances in childhood and early-adulthood- CLS working paper 1988/3

Mayer Ghodsian and Ken Fogelman look at social class factors and housing during childhood as predictors of type of housing and age at marriage in early-adulthood: overcrowding, amenities and equivalent family net income.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, young adult, housing, social class, SES, class mobility, marriage, overcrowding, deprivation.

Author: Mayer Ghodsian and Ken Fogelman
Date published: 10 March 1988
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Working papers

Health selection – an explanation of social inequalities in young adults?- CLS working paper 1988/2

Chris Power, Orly Manor, John Fox and Ken Fogelman observe that self-rated health and emotional health were generally poorer in lower social classes.   But some reductions in class differences occurred when adjustment was made for ill-health in adolescence.  They examine to what extent those unhealthy-in-adolescence move down the social scale in comparison to healthier adolescents.

Keywords: 1958 birth cohort, NCDS, National Child Development Study, young adult, health, selection effect, social class, SES, class mobility.

Author: Chris Power, Orly Manor, John Fox and Ken Fogelman
Date published: 12 February 1988
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